|
WARC’s latest forecasts show that global advertising spend is forecast to grow 9.1% in 2026 to $1.30trn, doubling in size since the pandemic and equivalent to $150 spent on every person.
The incremental growth is mostly being captured by digital platforms, not traditional channels. Almost 80% of ad spend now flows into retail media, paid search, and social platforms. The remaining 20% is shared across the whole of the rest of the media industry. These changes in the media landscape are forcing a rethink of traditional planning approaches.
Paul Stringer, Managing Editor, Research & Insights, WARC, says: “The established model for media planning and buying is breaking apart – and nobody knows exactly what comes next. The groundwork for a new model is just beginning.
“This year’s Future of Media report maps the contours of this emerging model. First, by looking at how structural changes inside client organisations and across the media landscape are giving rise to a new model for planning, inspired by systems-thinking. Second, by examining how AI is rewriting the rules of search and simultaneously creating a secondary audience for marketing: machines. And finally, how growing investment in user-generated content and creator marketing represents a new form of brand-building that, at this stage, most marketers seem underprepared for.”
The Future of Media 2026 report explores these three key trends set to shape the media landscape this year, to help marketers navigate these challenges, adapt, and find opportunities for growth.
The shift to ‘Systems Planning’
Traditional planning approaches, based on static plans, rigid personas and stable channel definitions are being disrupted by structural and technological shifts in media and marketing making them no longer fit for purpose. They must evolve to meet the demands of an increasingly complex, AI-driven marketing and media landscape.
‘Systems planning’ describes a new approach that focuses on “designing adaptive systems of influence”, argues Dan Gilbert, CEO of Brainlabs, that build equity and shape decisions across the entire brand experience, recognising how touchpoint influence varies by context, category and consumer. This requires new mental models, frameworks, and planning tools that are only just beginning to emerge.
‘Systems planning’ puts an emphasis on developing talent with connective capabilities across data, commerce and creativity – skills that are essential for steering AI-enabled marketing platforms effectively and deliver better outcomes.
|